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99% Rate Cut Odds in Election Week?
99% Rate Cut Odds in Election Week? With both the election and the Fed meeting this week, markets are bracing for increased volatility. Although a rate cut is widely anticipated, Fed Chair Powell and officials are expected to avoid commenting on the next administration’s policies until after the election winner takes office, focusing instead on…
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06 November 2024
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Hours to Go: Will ECB Cut Rates?
Hours to Go: Will ECB Cut Rates? ECB Rate Cut Likely: Despite recent modest growth in the euro zone, markets are nearly fully pricing in an ECB rate cut set for Friday, with less than a day until the decision. EUR/USD Under Pressure: The EUR/USD has dropped to its lowest level since August 2, falling…
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17 October 2024
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WTI: Will Iran Drag Saudi into Conflict?
WTI: Will Iran Drag Saudi into Conflict? Israel is weighing its response to an Iranian missile strike, with U.S. support influencing their decision. Oil prices jumped 5%, and there’s concern the conflict could draw in Saudi Arabia and Jordan. Israeli officials are considering how to respond after an Iranian missile strike on Wednesday, which caused…
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04 October 2024
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Must-Watch Events in U.S. Politics This Week
Must-Watch Events in U.S. Politics This Week With six weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 5 points, 49% to 44%, according to a new NBC poll. Harris’ favorability has surged 16 points since July, the largest increase for any candidate since George W. Bush after 9/11. Harris…
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23 September 2024
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EUR/USD: BofA’s Expectations for This Week
EUR/USD: BofA’s Expectations for This Week BofA expects the European Central Bank to announce a 25-basis point rate cut in this week’s decision, in line with market consensus. The bank anticipates a slight dovish shift in the ECB’s forward guidance, which could weigh on the euro and push it towards a retest of the critical…
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10 September 2024
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Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind?
Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind? The usual correlation between Nasdaq and Bitcoin has broken down today, with Bitcoin dropping 1.5% while the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, signaling potential shifts in market sentiment and risk appetite. The longstanding correlation between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin took a hit today as the two markets diverged, signaling potential shifts…
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28 August 2024
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Did You Miss Out on the Surprise NZD/USD Trade?
Did You Miss Out on the Surprise NZD/USD Trade? The RBNZ’s early rate cut could signal a broader shift in global monetary policy, with central banks potentially prioritizing economic growth and softer landings as economies slow down. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly cut interest rates by 25 basis points, sending the New Zealand…
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15 August 2024
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Trade Alerts: SA Rates and BoC Decision
Trade Alerts: SA Rates and BoC Decision South Africa is expected to maintain its key interest rates due to persistent inflationary pressures, while the Bank of Canada could cut interest rates next week to alleviate price pressures in the housing market. South African Inflation South Africa is expected to maintain its key interest rates at…
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19 July 2024
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Fed Decision Time: Rate Cuts Before Nov Election?
Fed Decision Time: Rate Cuts Before Nov Election? With the upcoming November 5 presidential election, there is significant political pressure on the Fed’s decisions. The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain the federal funds target range at 5.25%-5.5% when officials conclude their two-day meeting on Wednesday. Investors will be scrutinizing the statement to learn…
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11 June 2024
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What Did Powell Say and What Did Gold Do?
What Did Powell Say and What Did Gold Do? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the trajectory of disinflation in the US, indicating a shift in his confidence level regarding the economic outlook. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed reservations about the trajectory of disinflation in the US during his recent remarks, stating,…
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15 May 2024
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